Fellow Researchers Profile

Kiyoyuki SEGUCHI

Kiyoyuki SEGUCHI

Research Director

［Research Themes］
Japan- US-China relations
Analysis on the Chinese economy

Expertise

  • Chinese Economy
  • Relations among Japan, China and the United States
  • Global order framework project

Columns

2024.11.18

Why Do Social Divisions Like Those in the U.S. Not Occur in Japan?

2024.11.12

There are loopholes of the United States’ hard-line policy toward China; trade reduction effects are disappointing

2024.10.04

Japan and the U.S. embrace like-minded countries and exclude others, thus dividing the world

2024.09.18

Widening gap in China policy between the EU and the U.S., with Brussels diverging from the decoupling policy adopted by Washington

2024.07.24

China’s risk involved in indicating retaliation in opposition to high EV tariffs imposed by EU

2024.06.28

Substantially raising tariffs on China: the true nature of repeated American economic sanctions

2024.06.05

One year after innovative reforms of the Japanese Chamber of Commerce and Industry in China, the investment environment has started to improve

2024.05.10

Business Sentiment Becoming Worse Despite Macroeconomic Indicators Continuing to Recover Gradually | Economic Conditions in China / Hearing

2024.04.02

China becomes softer under economic depression: Examining the relationship between the Chinese economy and diplomacy

2024.03.21

Number of Visitors to Japan Rapidly Increasing Thanks to Omotenashi (hospitality), and That of Chinese Tourists Also Recovering Sharply, but Deterioration of Japanese Standards Progressing

2024.03.07

Local governments nationwide upgrade the counterpart support system initiated by China, which is highly effective in helping recovery and reconstruction after the Noto Peninsula Earthquake

2024.01.26

The Chinese economy is expected to normalize in one to two years, while showing signs of gradual recovery

2024.01.25

Despite the enforcement of a counter-espionage law, Japanese businesses have resumed business trips to China in earnest

2024.01.04

Both Shohei Ohtani and Jacques Mayol : One Can Open up the Future by Switching Their Genes On

2023.12.01

The Source of Pessimism on China’s Economy Is the Chinese Themselves

2023.09.14

Impacts of the Lifting of the Ban on Chinese Group Tours to Japan

2023.09.13

Rules Alone Cannot Prevent Bullying, Social Division, or a U.S.-China Conflict

2023.08.02

Policy toward China Shifting from Decoupling to De-risking

2023.08.01

China's IT and Service Improvements Surprise Experts, but Tighter Management Has Side Effects | Japan-U.S.-China Relations/Hearing

2023.06.16

Rapid Recovery after Lifting Zero-COVID Policy and Uncertain Outlook | Economic Conditions in China / Hearing

2023.05.18

Can the internationally recognized sincerity of the Japanese sway the US and China?

2023.05.17

Growing mutual mistrust between the US, the EU, and China, with no way out in sight

2023.03.23

More Parents Would Want to Have Children If Their Children Could Enjoy Learning in Their Schools

2023.03.16

Addressing the risk of a Taiwan contingency calls for diplomatic efforts rather than counterstrike capabilities

2023.02.02

Distrust of the US is behind the EU’s cooperative stance toward China

2023.01.24

The world’s leading companies remain positive toward the Chinese economy even as it slows:

2023.01.23

Limitations of Controlling U.S.–China Conflict and Russia–Ukraine War and Role of Moral Education

2022.11.01

U.S.-China Relations After Speaker Pelosi’s Visit to Taiwan: “Cold Politics and Warm Economy”

2022.09.16

China’s rapid economic growth is likely to end earlier than expected

2022.08.25

Limitations of Rules-Based Order Formation Faced by UN, G20, Etc.

2022.07.11

U.S. provoking China on assumption that Japan will play military role in Taiwan contingency

2022.07.01

Why the majority of Chinese have ceased to support Russia

2022.06.14

Japanese businesses complacent with low wages end up seeing their international competitiveness decline

2022.04.13

China risks becoming isolated in the world after the invasion of Ukraine

2022.03.25

Developments in Japan-China Economic Relations over the Past 50 Years since the Normalization of Diplomatic Relations

2022.03.25

Strengthening the Functions of the Japanese Chamber of Commerce and Industry in China, the Core of Cooperation among Japanese Businesses in the Country

2022.01.26

The Summit for Democracy Will Not Help Democratization in China

2022.01.12

China’s Rapid Growth Might End Sooner Than Expected:

2021.11.10

China’s application for admission to the TPP: whether to make the most of it or not depends on Japan ~Most important are the role played by the EU and the leadership taken by Japan~

2021.11.08

Japanese somehow accept false views of China and Afghanistan as true ~Lack of information causes loss to the state and lost opportunities to enterprises~

2021.09.09

Managers are often blamed by the head office of Japanese businesses, “You’ve been a panda hugger!”

2021.08.26

Active Japanese university students address Japan-China relations beyond mass media ~Passionate yet calm views of Japanese youths who lead the next generation on China~

2021.07.21

Huge Assets China Has Lost through Its Wolf Warrior Diplomacy Is it impossible to respect diplomacy based on the traditional governance by virtue?

2021.06.15

Setback for China: Unable to Stop Birth Rate from Falling; Japan’s Cooperation Essential China’s one-child generation sees no point in having a second child

2021.04.28

Deepening US-China Economic Interdependence Contrary to Decoupling Policy US consumer and business behavior is independent of government intentions

2021.03.15

Rapid post-COVID-19 response determines corporate winners and losers 　　～Do not miss out on the Chinese market, which has gotten on the economic growth path one step ahead!～

2021.03.11

What China is Pursuing by Aiming to Join the TPP and How Japan Should Respond ーChief Referee’s Stance of Remaining Faithful to Neutrality and Impartiality is a Condition for Gaining Trust from the World

2021.01.21

Why Japanese firms are not withdrawing from China despite the spread of COVID-19　ーThey are even repurposing government subsidies for corporate flights to expand their China business

2020.12.09

Priorities of China’s Economic Policy for the Next Five Years －An overview and features of the next Five-Year Plan as announced at the CPC Central Committee’s 5th Plenary Session

2020.11.12

It may be difficult to continue the Huawei exclusion under a Biden administration; Four reasons why the exclusionary policy of the Trump era cannot continue

2020.10.13

Has China Stopped Moving towards a Market Economy? ~Examining the realities of state-owned enterprises criticized by Western countries based on macro-economic data~

2020.09.24

Can China and the United States accept the idea “We are all different and we are all good”? Japan’s appropriate course of action in anticipation of post-Pax Americana

2020.08.17

The Hong Kong Problem’s Grave Risk to the China Economy －If this problem is left unsolved, the global economy may also be seriously affected. The breakthrough solution is “sympathy.”－

2020.07.17

The coronavirus crisis is the very reason why Japan should go ahead with the Tokyo Games regardless: Japan's quest to stave off a schism in the global community

2020.06.16

Catching up with and Overtaking China in Social Infrastructure Development after COVID-19: Early examples in China are particularly useful for new non-contact lifestyles

2020.06.15

Courage and determination shown by Prime Minister Abe in coping with COVID-19: The ideas and philosophy expected of leaders in times of crisis

2020.06.05

Japan's Online Education Lags Far behind China's: Fatal decline in education level - Japanese government should reflect seriously on failure in policymaking

2020.03.31

How can a global society without leaders be stabilized? : To not turn a blind eye to others in need - The importance of fostering morals

2020.03.09

Novel Pneumonia: Chinese People Who Are Deeply Grateful to Japan - What is in the honest hearts and minds of the Japanese and Chinese people has gone unreported by the Japanese media

2020.03.06

Japan gaining recognition from the international community, but standing on shaky foundations The solution lies in moral education: Suginami City launched its initiative ahead of others

2020.01.09

Japan's resilience against disaster and the rugby team's outstanding feat - The time has come for Japanese people's traditional spirit to lead global business management

2020.01.08

China's growth rate will fall below 6%, but experts watch calmly as leaders give priority to pushing reforms - Representatives of Japanese firms in China are fed up with the biased pessimism of head offices in Japan

2019.10.24

Reason for China's National Capitalism Not Being a Threat - A risk that could cause serious damage to the global economy would be long-term stagnation in China, if anything -

2019.09.25

The Actual Situation of Accelerating Efforts to Strengthen Regional Cooperation in China --Infrastructure Construction and More Advanced Industries Transforming Regional Economies--

2019.09.25

Rapidly changing Chinese market: Japanese companies are apparently lagging behind. ~What are some differences between Japanese companies and Western companies that are ambitiously investing with more caution?~

2019.09.17

U.S.-China trade disputes and the improvement of Japan-China relations: the frontline of the Chinese market is undergoing rapid changes - After the G20 Summit, Japanese businesses are riding a tailwind as it becomes increasingly strong -

2019.09.17

Breakdown in US-China trade talks: Concerns over China's aftereffect risks - will China's state leading members be wise enough to make a judgment from a long-term perspective? -

2019.06.21

While the US and China are fighting, Japan reaps the benefits; Chinese cities are passionately calling for Japanese investment

2019.04.26

Rapid increase in Chinese people changing personality during Japan visit - The secret of the influential force of Japanese animation -

2019.03.19

The Chinese economy acquired potential energy and will continue to grow stably in an unfavorable situation －Appearance of a great gap with media that want to report the situation pessimistically －

2019.03.11

FDI toward China: Japanese companies becoming more aggressive －Japanese cars sold well in the Chinese market, which will feature growth equivalent to more than 16% growth in the Japanese market －

2019.02.08

The true nature of the Huawei case and what will happen from now on －Diplomatic efforts Japan should take amid deepening US-China feud －

2018.12.25

Despite economic slowdown, Japanese companies will strengthen their competitive advantage in the Chinese market －After maintaining steady growth, the Chinese economy has entered a phase of mild deceleration －

2018.11.12

Japan should ease the ever-escalating US-China row －The Japanese model of introducing Eastern ideas into Western institutions for national development is more relevant than ever. －

2018.11.12

In Europe, there is rapidly growing wariness toward Chinese enterprises －Chinese managers lack proper judgment and sense to respect foreign economies, societies, and cultures －

2018.10.15

China must avoid a US-China trade war －Japan can play a major role in improving US-China relations with Prime Minister Abe taking the lead in this situation －

2018.10.15

Problems of Japanese Companies Failing to Achieve Results in Silicon Valley －Same Phenomena Seen in Chinese Markets; First Step in Overcoming Challenge Is Site Visits by Top Management－

2018.10.09

Japanese Companies' Investments in China Get into Full Swing for the First Time in 13 Years －China's Local Government Attitude toward Attracting Japanese Businesses Also Changes from Negative to Positive －

2018.10.09

The Clue to Reviving Japanese Companies Lies in China －Reasons Why Japanese Companies Suffered Setbacks amid Global Competition (Part 2) －

2018.09.10

Conditions for the Revival of Japanese Companies in the World Led by China and the U.S. －Extend the president's term in office to at least 10 years; replace the president without any hesitation if he/she is revealed to be unsuitable to achieve its goals.－

2018.04.27

U.S. should not Incline towards Protectionism but Invite Japanese Companies to Improve Competitiveness －Reduction in Trade Deficits and Job Creation in the U.S. through Expansion of Investment by Japanese Companies in the U.S.－

2018.03.20

China's economic policy has gotten underway as government officials overcome the hesitation for fear of the anti-corruption campaign －After the 19th Party's Congress, the Xi administration begins policy management in earnest－

2018.02.16

A World Order Supported by Japan and China, Which Have Long-Term Stable Governments, Instead of the Unstable U.S. and Europe－Roles Expected of Japanese Corporations and Challenges They Must Overcome Amid Multi-polarization in the World－

2018.01.12

Genuine Japan-China Exchanges Promoted by Young People Who Like Japan So Much; Mutual Understanding and Mutual Trust That Overcome Obstacles Originating from the Gap in Historical Perceptions and Territorial Claims

2017.12.28

Japanese companies losing investment opportunities; It is the duty of presidents to make bold decisions to face challenges based on their medium- to long-term management vision

2017.12.28

Establish a platform for discussing solutions to global challenges in Japan, arousing the expectations of an increasingly unsettled world

2017.12.14

China Boom Subsiding in Europe and the U.S., but Coming Back in Japan－Gap Produced by Differences in Marketing Abilities and Structural Change of Chinese Markets－

2017.08.31

Japan's Role in the future formation of World Order In a Destabilizing World, the Role of "Wa" Becomes Increasingly Important

2017.07.27

Do not miss super-megamarkets that pop up in China: "Leapfrog" development where underdeveloped infrastructure paradoxically gives rise to a cutting-edge market

2017.07.18

China's Swelling Appetite for Japanese Quality Provides Golden Opportunity for Japanese Firms to Leap from Bottom of Smile Curve

2017.07.14

Responsive scenarios against North Korea missile threat －Japan-U.S.-China-ROK cooperation with a view to the future of the East Asian region－

2017.04.20

A New Flash Point for U.S.-China Economic War －North Korea Risk and Growing Pessimism in the U.S. Business Community over the Chinese Market－

2017.04.19

Will the U.S. and China go into economic warfare under the Trump administration? A problem for Japan rather than the two countries between which mutually-assured economic destruction is established

2017.03.08

China has issued a major directive to "learn from Japan" as a priority measure for this year - But strong measures are needed in order to obtain the cooperation of Japanese companies

2017.02.08

A Surprisingly Effective Method for Maintaining Peace and Economic Growth at the Same Time My Hope for Prime Minister Abe to Establish a Global Information-gathering Agency Following His Visit to Pearl Harbor

2016.12.16

Proposal to create win-win relationship between Japan and China through support for "One Belt One Road"―Proposals on stability in the East China Sea and economic revitalization in Northeast China―

2016.12.05

Risk in the Chinese Economy and the Challenge to Political System Reform―Preparation for secular economic stagnation after shifting to a period of stable growth and the role of Japan―

2016.10.20

Three Proposals for Japan's Foreign Policy from Long-term View

2016.09.08

Resurgence of the Galapagos Syndrome of Japanese Companies in the Chinese Market －Japanese Companies Left Behind in the Global Trend to Promote Investment in China－

2016.08.19

A Winning Hit for Abenomics ―Scheme to Build Aviation Infrastructure― Making Japan-China-South Korea Flight Network as Convenient as Domestic Flight Network to Bring Huge Economic Benefits

2016.07.26

Rising Expectations of Japanese Businesses Against the Backdrop of Growing Disparities ―Solutions to Social Problems with Which Mr. Trump's and Mr. Sanders' Supporters Are Dissatisfied―

2016.06.23

Risks Facing the Chinese Economy in the 2020s and the Prospects for Japan-China Relations－From cultural exchange through Japanese missions to Tang China to the new era of win-win economic relations between Japan and China－

2015.07.01

Exploring the Essence of China's "New Normal" - Xi Jinping administration seeks to shake off two abnormalities -

2015.03.23

Japan, China and South Korea's duty to contribute to stabilize the world order that tends to be disturbed by various factors, one of which is represented by violent activities of the Islamic State

2015.03.06

Necessary Conditions for Japanese Companies to Survive in the Chinese Market

2015.02.04

Chinese Market Structural Change and Growing Opportunities for Japanese Firms

2015.01.15

Structural reforms cannot be put off after 2020 Serious risks are accumulated

2014.12.09

Explaining the Wide Belief in Mistaken Pessimism over the Chinese Economy

2013.12.25

The reasons why I anticipate a "resurgence of investment into China next year."

2012.09.12

Chinese Economic Situation/Site Visit Report (July 16-27) Consistently Steady Chinese Economy

2010.05.12

Reasons for Decline in Trade Surplus and Future Prospects for China

2010.02.24

Trends in Macro Economy, Shanghai City, Shandong Province "Current Points of Note in the Chinese Economy: Coping with the Inflation Risk in the First Half of 2010

2009.12.17

Strong and Sustained Growth in Chinese Consumption

2009.10.07

On the Value To Be Presented from Japan to the World -Concept of "Wa (Harmony)"-

2009.09.07

Two Views on China's Economic Growth Rate

2009.08.17

Notable Regional Structural Changes in the Chinese Economy

2009.07.09

Two Regional Economies Expected To Be New Leaders for the Chinese Economy

2009.06.08

The recovery of the Chinese economy and the positive posture of Japanese enterprise toward business development

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Working papers, Papers and Reports

2022.11.11

A New Framework for Global Order Formation

2018.10.12

Suggestions on How NGOs Can Contribute to Order Formation for the Global Community

2017.01.16

Dr. Sheila A. Smith Seminar "Revisionism, Populism or Nationalism?: The Political Currents that Shape the U.S.-Japan Alliance" - Summary of Speech and Q&A

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Event Reports

November 17, 2016, 16:30 - 17:30

Dr. Sheila A. Smith Seminar "Revisionism, Populism or Nationalism?: The Political Currents that Shape the U.S.-Japan Alliance"

April 9, 2015, 14:00 - 15:30

Mr. Seguchi spoke at FPCJ Press Briefing "Infrastructure Investment in Asia: Current Situation and Future"

July 17, 2013, 15:00 - 16:30

CIGS Seminar："Abe administration and the US-Japan alliance"

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Profile

Education

1982 Graduated from the University of Tokyo (B.A. in Economics)

Career

2009.04 - present Research Director, The Canon Institute for Global Studies
2006 - 2008 Chief Representative, Representative Office in Beijing
2004 - 2005 International visiting fellow at RAND Corporation (U.S.A.)
1997 - 2004 Director, Secretariat of the Policy Board,
promoted from Deputy Director in October 2002
1982 Joined Bank of Japan

Papers

  • "A New Framework for Global Order Formation" (2022)
  • “Perspective of Economic Development of Bohai-Rim Region” (2008)
  • “Dissolution of Mutual Distrust” - Relations among China, Japan, and the United States, since the 1990s (2005)

Others

2019- Director, Japan Asia Community Culture Cooperation Organization
2018- Councilor, Graduate School of Leadership and Innovation Shizenkan University
2018-2019 Senior Advisor to Smart Health Project of UNOPS China
2006 - Board Member, Suginami Institute for Teacher’s Training (Suginami Shihankan)